Sunday, May 9, 2021

Football’s victory margins vary widely in Week 1


Illinois high school varsity football teams played in a total of 294 games in Week 1, which ended Sunday, 11 of which were decided by 1 point. One game, however, was decided by 73 points.

The mean victory margin was 23.4, with a standard deviation of 15.7. The median was 22 points.

Note that four of the 15 games reported as having a victory margin of 1 point in the graph were won by forfeit—the IHSA reports a score of 1-0 on those games.

A total of 12 Week 1 games (4.1 percent) were played against out-of-state opponents. Of the 579 varsity football teams in our database this season, 43 (7.4 percent) are scheduled to play at least one game against an out-of-state opponent. Two teams will play more than one game against opponents from outside Illinois:

Illinois teams were 9-3 against out-of-state opponents in Week 1, with victory margins ranging from 6 to 46 points among the wins (mean 26, median 28) and from 12 to 37 among the losses.

Paul Katula
Paul Katula is the executive editor of the Voxitatis Research Foundation, which publishes this blog. For more information, see the About page.

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