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Is Obama playing politics with student loan rates?

The interest rates on student loans guaranteed by the federal government are set to go up on July 1 from 3.4 percent to 6.8 percent unless senators and representatives can carve out a consensus to prevent the increase.

President Barack Obama, flanked by college students at the White House yesterday, told them the increase would mean “that the average student with those loans will rack up an additional $1,000 in debt. That’s like a $1,000 tax hike,” the New York Times reported.

Democrats in the Senate hope to pass a plan that would simply extend the 3.4-percent rate for another two years, while House Republicans last week passed one that makes the rate variable based on market trends.

House Speaker John A Boehner, Republican of Ohio, characterized the House’s bill as “a responsible way to deal honestly with the issue of student loans,” but he noted Democrats could easily politicize the issue. The House bill includes the following provisions:

Tying interest rates to market trends is likely to cut the federal deficit by about $3.7 billion over 10 years, a small number compared to our nation’s debt but important in the politics of Washington, as our annual spending deficit may be decreasing more quickly than the Congressional Budget Office initially projected, the Christian Science Monitor reports.

“The differences between the House plan and the president’s are small, and there’s no reason they cannot be overcome quickly,” the Times quoted Mr Boehner as saying in a statement. “But today, rather than working to resolve the issue, the president resorted to a campaign stunt to try to score political points.”

What that stunt was is unclear, but the president chimed a brief reference to it by saying he didn’t want the deficit resolved on the backs of college graduates. He insisted that the House plan could mean freshmen who enter college in the fall would pay more for their education than they would if the government had simply allowed the interest rate to increase to 6.8 percent next month.

He might be right. The CBO estimates that under the Republican plan, the interest rate on Stafford loans will increase to 5 percent next year and to 7.7 percent by 2018. The president also noted that the Republican plan eliminates safeguards designed to protect low-income families.

But with all this political rhetoric flying back and forth, one would think the two plans—the one from the president and the one passed last week in the House—were miles apart. That is not the case, however, as the president’s plan would also tie rates to the Treasury interest rate. Unlike the Republican plan, though, the president’s would fix the rate over the life of the loan, rather than adjusting it every year.

Of course, if the economy tanks again, the Republican plan is clearly better. If the economy continues on a path of slow recovery, the president’s plan is clearly better for students. It’s just a matter of whether you’re a pessimist or an optimist when it comes to the nation’s economic recovery.

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